Most of the time, major international developments and policy changes are slow and incremental. Sometimes, they are dramatic and sudden. Over the course of the last few months US foreign policy has shifted significantly - and with it, the balance in Ukraine. This episode I look at the evolution of the war since our last quarterly update to set a baseline for what to expect as negotiations and policy decisions play out - and start to introduce some of the major changes we've already seen, from the US aid freeze to escalating European commitments.